Viewpoint: If AI sales grow strongly, the return on capital expenditure for AI operators is expected to turn positive within 24 months.
2026.06.27 16:11:45
Renowned researcher Oguz Erkan’s data analysis indicates that based on current capital costs, operating margins of hyperscale cloud service providers, and depreciation periods, the return on investment (ROI) for AI capital expenditure will turn positive when AI revenue reaches roughly 1.7 to 1.8 times depreciation and amortization. Currently, AI revenue is approximately 1.2 times capital expenditure depreciation. Erkan projects that if AI sales grow robustly, the ROI is expected to turn positive within 24 months.
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