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World Cup semi-finalists confirmed: France temporarily tops the championship favorites with a 39% win probability.

2026.07.12 12:00:22

With all four semi-finalists of the 2026 US-Canada-Mexico World Cup confirmed, prediction market platform Predict.fun has updated its latest World Cup winner market accordingly. As of press time, the market assigns Argentina a roughly 20% chance to lift the FIFA World Cup trophy, France 39%, Spain 19%, and England 20%, with traders overall favoring France to win the tournament. The four semi-finalists are Argentina, France, Spain, and England, all traditional powerhouses in global football. Argentina and France are expected to maintain their strong form from the past two World Cups, Spain advanced to the last four behind a young squad, while England returned to the semi-finals led by key players including Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham. As the tournament enters the semi-final stage, trading activity in the prediction market for the champion continues to surge, and each team’s championship odds will adjust in real time as matches unfold.

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