A prominent trader has noted that Bitcoin has completed its five-wave adjustment, with the technical structure indicating a potential bottom may have formed.

The US National Cryptocurrency Association released a report stating that the US crypto industry directly employs 34,000 people; when including jobs supported by supplier industries and consumer spending of related workers, total employment in the sector is roughly 232,000. The report projects that by 2026, the industry will contribute over $55 billion to US GDP, with around $31 billion flowing to workers as labor income. Of the 232,000 supported jobs, approximately 75,000 come from supplier industries, and another 123,000 are driven by household spending of related employees. These figures are based on multiplier effects from input-output models and do not represent direct hires by crypto firms. Among the 34,000 direct roles, software, blockchain, and data engineering positions are the most numerous, at about 10,100. Regionally, California and New York support 57,649 and 53,766 jobs respectively, totaling over 111,000; Texas accounts for roughly 26,536 jobs. The 12 US heartland states defined in the report collectively support around 17,000 jobs. The report was commissioned and funded by the National Cryptocurrency Association, with analysis conducted by Pragmatic Policy Group. Its estimates are based on the US Bureau of Economic Analysis’ 2024 input-output tables and $23.22 billion in crypto industry revenue data, with model assumptions incorporated into occupational structure and industry mapping.

Baton Corporation, the developer behind Pump.fun, is hiring a Head of Growth Marketing, with a base annual salary of $400,000 to $1,000,000 plus performance-based incentives. Pump.fun founder Alon noted that the platform has grown to become one of the largest in the crypto industry with almost no paid marketing. The company’s next goal is to transition Pump.fun from a crypto-native product to the mainstream market, targeting an application with hundreds of millions of users. The role requires candidates to have hands-on experience in consumer app growth, a proven track record managing multi-million dollar marketing budgets, and familiarity with strategies including digital advertising, user-generated content (UGC), and short-form video clips.

Zach Pandl, head of research at Grayscale, wrote in a post that the market currently holds two main views on when Bitcoin’s bear market will end: one is adherence to the "four-year cycle" theory, and the other is viewing Bitcoin as a mature asset driven by macroeconomic factors. The "four-year cycle" theory holds that halving events remain the core driver of Bitcoin’s price cycles. Historically, Bitcoin has typically bottomed roughly one year after a cycle peak and about 2.5 years after a halving, with an average cumulative drawdown of around 80%. Based on this pattern, Bitcoin could still decline further in the current cycle and form a bottom in September or October. The other view argues that Bitcoin’s price will, like other major assets, be more influenced by economic growth, real interest rates, and changes in Federal Reserve policy going forward. Past Bitcoin bear markets have typically coincided with slowing economic growth or rising real interest rates, and this current downturn has unfolded against a backdrop of rising rate hike expectations and climbing real interest rates. Pandl noted he leans more toward the macro-driven view. If the Fed stops raising interest rates and economic growth remains stable, Bitcoin’s price may have already bottomed.

Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas wrote that since the 250th anniversary of U.S. Independence, Bitcoin has risen around 8% cumulatively, outperforming most assets. Meanwhile, inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs have started to rebound, with net inflows of roughly $750 million in the past week. Balchunas noted that it is still hard to fully believe this rally has established a stable trend, but it is not unexpected that Bitcoin has rebounded after its prior pullback, adding that its future trajectory remains to be seen. Early Bitcoin holders have been continuously selling assets over the past nine months, which has been weighing on prices; if these holders cease selling, Bitcoin could rally.

David Hoffman, co-founder of Bankless, published an article stating that during the second phase of the U.S.-Iran conflict, oil prices may fluctuate between $75 and $95 per barrel and will not rise to the highs seen in the first phase of the conflict. However, even if oil prices stay within this range, it will still be unfavorable for the global inflation situation.

A report from a16z crypto shows that as of the end of June, the total market capitalization of tokenized stocks reached approximately $1.7 billion, more than quintupling from $329 million a year ago, making it one of the fastest-growing tokenized asset categories. Over half of the current market cap comes from assets that were not on-chain a year ago, indicating growth is driven primarily by new issuances rather than just gains in underlying stock prices. The market structure has also shifted significantly: the share of crypto-related products dropped from 79% a year ago to 21%; the "other" category, consisting of hundreds of small underlying assets, rose to 35%. Large-cap tech stocks’ share climbed from 0.6% to 10.6%, while ETFs and index products’ share increased from 4.5% to 17.3%. Tokenized stocks of AI and chip-related sectors saw the fastest growth, with their market cap share rising from 0.3% in June 2025 to 15.5%. On-chain activity has risen in tandem: the monthly transfer volume of tokenized stocks hit $9.22 billion in June, more than 170 times the $53 million recorded in the same period last year. Related transactions include on-chain purchases and sales, inter-wallet transfers, and collateral deposits into DeFi protocols. Institutional infrastructure is accelerating its rollout: DTCC has completed the first production-environment transactions of tokenized U.S. Treasuries and stocks on the Canton Network; Robinhood has launched its own blockchain; the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) has formed a joint venture with OKX to offer tokenized NYSE stocks once approved; Coinbase and Binance have also launched or plan to launch tokenized U.S. stock services for non-U.S. users.