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Analysis: The bear market has entered its final phase, with Bitcoin's profit supply ratio continuing to hover around 52%.

2026.08.05 21:27:34

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost disclosed data showing that Bitcoin’s profitable supply ratio currently stands at 52%, meaning nearly half of circulating BTC is in a loss position. This level marks a key turning point in every bear market: during each deep correction, the profitable ratio eventually stays above the loss ratio for a sustained period. In June and July, this indicator briefly fell below the 50% threshold, but a sustained loss-dominant state has not yet emerged. The current 52% reading indicates the bear market has deepened, and the market is approaching the bottom region of the cycle. The analyst further noted that regardless of what the final absolute bottom price will be, the market is currently entering the final stage of the bear market. The massive concentration of chips accumulated in the $60,000 to $63,000 range has drawn widespread attention to a directional breakout, and the continuous contraction of the profitable supply ratio provides on-chain evidence for this judgment from another dimension. Historical patterns show that when the profitable supply ratio completes bottoming near 50%, it often signals the start of a new cycle’s accumulation phase.

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