Storage price rally likely to continue through Q4; Wall Street sets average target price for Micron at $1,549.
1 hours ago
According to Barron's, one of the factors driving the recent rebound in storage stocks is SanDisk (SNDK)’s strong long-term outlook for the NAND market. KeyBanc forecasts DRAM prices will rise 15% to 20% quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2026, with another 15% gain in Q4. For NAND, prices are expected to jump 30% to 40% QoQ in Q3, followed by a 15% increase in Q4. Calculated via simple compound interest, DRAM’s cumulative rise from Q2 levels will reach roughly 32% to 38% by year-end, while NAND’s cumulative increase will hit 50% to 61%. Although storage prices have already surged sharply, the rally is continuing beyond market expectations, making whether DRAM and NAND price hikes will persist into Q4 a key variable for the storage sector recently. On the valuation side, UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri set a $1,625 price target for Micron Technology (MU). Given current supply shortages keeping near-term earnings elevated, UBS did not use 2027-2028 earnings; instead, it based its valuation on 2029 expected EPS, applying a roughly 11x price-to-earnings ratio. UBS believes that even if the storage industry normalizes or enters a downturn cycle by 2029, Micron’s long-term profitability is likely to remain higher than in past cycles. UBS also noted that a rising proportion of long-term supply agreements (LTAs) could reduce the earnings volatility the storage industry has historically experienced due to overexpansion, oversupply, and price declines. FactSet data shows that Wall Street analysts’ average price target for Micron is $1,549, above its August 14 closing price of $970.20.
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