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Goldman Sachs: AI trading sees July-style deleveraging resurface, storage and data center sectors most attractive

51 minutes ago

Goldman Sachs views this week’s market moves as a classic deleveraging-driven selloff, with underlying logic similar to the July rout. Its high-beta momentum portfolio fell 12% this week, while the AI hedge portfolio dropped 10% over five days. While leverage in the AI sector has pulled back from extreme highs, inertial capital is still driving rapid, indiscriminate dip-buying. Goldman notes that AI trading is not over, but the phase of generating excess returns via broad sector rallies is shifting; investors should now focus on opportunities where stock prices diverge significantly from earnings per share. Among these, the valuation gap in the storage and data center sectors is most pronounced, as earnings recovery has not yet been fully priced in, making them the most tactically attractive. Nvidia’s Q2 earnings report and its September industry conference will serve as upcoming catalysts. Meanwhile, momentum factors are rebalancing: software has replaced semiconductors as the largest weight in the three-month momentum long portfolio, while semiconductors and AI-linked names have shifted to short portfolios. Goldman adds that capital is also flowing into previously overlooked sectors such as European and Japanese banks, gold miners, and copper stocks.

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Ethereum falls below $2,400

According to HTX market data, Ethereum has fallen below $2,400, with a 24-hour decline of 4.9%.

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South Korea’s stock market has experienced a swing from "euphoria to despair", with retail leveraged investors suffering losses of tens of billions of US dollars.

According to Reuters, South Korea’s KOSPI has dropped 30% from its June 19 peak, as the stock market frenzy driven by the AI boom and leveraged funds has swiftly turned into pessimism. The South Korean government had planned to eliminate the "Korea Discount" by introducing more investment tools and improving corporate governance, but sharp market volatility has put the effectiveness of these policies and investors’ risk tolerance under scrutiny. South Korean regulators greenlit single-stock leveraged ETFs for launch on May 27, requiring investors to complete only a one-hour training session and deposit at least 10 million won to participate. During the same period, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix each hit a $1 trillion market cap, pushing the KOSPI to more than double its October 2023 level and cross the 8,000-point mark. Retail investors borrowed heavily to chase the AI rally, lifting the KOSPI’s margin balance to a record 29.8 trillion won on June 24, up roughly 75% year-to-date. With Samsung and SK Hynix together accounting for over 53% of the KOSPI’s total market value, related leveraged products have further amplified market swings. In early July, South Korea’s volatility index VKOSPI surged to 97.99, the highest level since the index’s launch in 2009. Citigroup estimated on July 28 that retail investors’ losses on leveraged ETFs reached $38.7 billion. The market correction has also brought social strain. A Seoul psychiatrist said the number of his patients with stock investment-related issues rose from 7 to 8 per day last year to an average of 11 per day since June this year. Busan police arrested a man in his 20s suspected of stabbing a YouTuber, who allegedly blamed the content creator for his stock losses. South Korean authorities have since tightened restrictions on individual investments in leveraged ETFs. Analysts note that the excessive volatility could also undermine South Korea’s goal of being included in the MSCI Developed Markets Index.

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US Congresswoman Tlaib, who opposed the CLARITY Act, was revealed to hold ETFs related to Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

According to a New York Post report, U.S. Democratic Representative Rashida Tlaib’s latest financial disclosure shows her roughly $1.2 million retirement investment account includes up to $15,000 in Grayscale Ethereum ETF and up to $15,000 in Bitcoin ETF. Both holdings are ETFs, not direct ownership of BTC or ETH. The disclosure documents indicate the account holds a total of 41 investments. Since U.S. lawmakers only disclose assets by amount brackets, Tlaib’s exact holdings in the crypto ETFs cannot be determined. Tlaib previously voted against the CLARITY Act, which supports the crypto industry, and backed a resolution aimed at banning "crypto corruption". The CLARITY Act is expected to be considered by the Senate in September after Congress returns from its recess.

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Altcoins see widespread pullback, TAC drops over 40% in 24 hours.

According to HTX market data, as Bitcoin fell below $77,000, the cryptocurrency market has entered a pullback, with altcoins generally facing selling pressure and declining. Specifically: TAC is currently priced at $0.001672, down 40.86% in 24 hours; FHE trades at $0.01978, down 30.03% over 24 hours; SQD stands at $0.03, down 29.01% in 24 hours; PTB is priced at $0.0007364, down 27.11% in 24 hours; INX is at $0.006619, down 26.43% over 24 hours; BASED trades at $0.07328, down 25.35% in 24 hours; SWARMS is priced at $0.007254, down 24.80% in 24 hours; BEAT is at $0.1342, down 24.18% over 24 hours.

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Grayscale: Bitcoin’s current price may offer favorable entry points for long-term investors.

Grayscale Research Head Zach Pandl wrote in a post that while he generally advises investors against trying to time the market, judging from three aspects—structural adoption trends, market cycles, and macro risks—the current Bitcoin price may offer a favorable entry point for investors with a long-term investment horizon. Grayscale noted that sustained growth in government debt, expanding applications of blockchain technology in financial services, and generational shifts in portfolio construction all indicate Bitcoin’s long-term adoption trend remains solid. The current Bitcoin bear market has lasted roughly 10 months, while previous bear markets typically ran 11 to 12 months, suggesting the market may be in the late stage of a bear cycle. The macro environment remains a key source of uncertainty: if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates soon, Bitcoin could fall further; if it holds rates steady, the market may have already hit bottom. Grayscale added that structural adoption, cycle positioning, and overall macro outlook are currently relatively favorable, though future performance remains uncertain.

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Rumors that Donald Trump will launch a new cryptocurrency: Trump bought Robinhood stocks in June, and his son denied the cryptocurrency launch.

Recently, rumors have emerged in the crypto market that US President Donald Trump is "about to officially launch a new token". The rumors claimed that a newly created Robinhood Chain wallet received 290 ETH and interacted with a "Truth Coin" contract, but no wallet address, controller proof, official contract, or project announcement was provided. Eric Trump, Donald Trump’s second son, subsequently explicitly denied the rumors, stating: "This is a total joke, the news is completely false. No one is going to launch any type of token, and anyone who suggests otherwise is committing fraud." As of now, neither the Trump family nor Robinhood has announced the launch of any related token. Notably, a filing from the US Office of Government Ethics shows that Trump’s investment portfolio purchased Robinhood (HOOD) stocks worth between $1,001 and $15,000 on June 3. HOOD closed at $82.85 on that day, and stood at $108.13 on August 21, representing an approximate 30.5% increase in the period. If the entire position is still held and calculated based on the approximate closing price of that day, the unrealized profit would be roughly $305 to $4,577, though the actual transaction price and subsequent holdings have not been disclosed.

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