Analysis: Bitcoin’s futures and spot demand are rising in tandem. Despite being overbought, trading against the trend is not advisable, and the strongest bullish momentum phase is approaching.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost noted that Bitcoin’s total demand has been rising steadily over the past 30 days, currently standing at around 170,000 BTC, with spot and futures demand growing in tandem. Although short-term overbought signals have become quite prominent, investors should avoid attempting precise market timing at this juncture. The market appears to have entered a demand-driven rally wave while continuously digesting profit-taking pressure. Historical patterns show that periods of synchronized growth in spot and futures demand often mark Bitcoin’s strongest upward momentum phases. The analyst emphasized that as long as this demand persists and continues to absorb short-term profit-taking, upward momentum could still hold even if the market enters overbought territory. This means the core variable to monitor now is not whether prices are too high, but whether demand is still effectively absorbing selling pressure. Only when demand shows signs of exhaustion and profit-taking begins to outweigh buying support will the rally likely come to an end. Until then, any contrarian trades based on overbought signals may run counter to strong demand-driven momentum.