Bitcoin short squeeze reappears: Futures open interest falls to a five-month low, and the market’s leverage structure has become healthier.

CryptoQuant analyst ArabxChain stated that Binance’s estimated leverage ratio for XRP has risen to its highest level in over seven months. Data shows the metric is currently around 0.213, the highest since January this year. Analysts believe that if the leverage ratio increases alongside XRP’s price gains and growing open interest, this may reflect rising trader confidence and continuous new position building, thereby supporting a subsequent upward trend. However, higher leverage also means the market is more sensitive to price volatility, so potential cascading liquidation risks need to be guarded against.

Arthur Hayes published an update stating that eligibility for the FLOP airdrop will be determined by users’ testnet activities. Testnet token faucets will launch on Technocore.chat, and users will need to access them via an AI agent’s DID key. Earlier, Hayes revealed that FLOP plans to conduct a large-scale airdrop in Q4 2026, with 20% of its total token supply allocated to testnet participants, to be distributed over 10 years—adjustments may be made later, and the figure was released specifically to gather user feedback. FLOP is expected to rank among the top two cryptocurrencies in the market.

The crypto whale "First Set 10 Big Goals" responded to a question about whether a trend reversal or a major rally is more likely now, stating that the trend has reversed. Earlier, the whale noted, "This round of trend has been more intense than I initially expected, so we can be bolder in our outlook. I don’t think it’s too late to enter the market even at $80,000 or above—there’s still room. The $100,000 mark will likely be hit earlier than I previously anticipated. We’ll re-assess how far this trend can go once we cross $100,000." "If Strategy resumes its continuous buying spree next, would that be the bulls’ 'signal to go all in'? It’s certainly not a direct buy trigger, but I will definitely treat it as a high-weight signal. Someone who has truly weathered stress tests, knows their capital structure’s bottom line, and is adding real capital to positions—their actions are at least more worthy of study than the vast majority of verbal opinions in the market."

Bitcoin surged roughly 25% over the past week, briefly hitting near $80,000, but market analysts note that the 50-week simple moving average (50W MA) remains a key technical resistance level to determine if the current bear market has truly ended. The average is currently trading in the range of approximately $81,000 to $82,000. Galaxy Research states that in past completed bear markets, BTC has seen the bear market bottom form 11 times when the asset reclaimed its 50-week MA. If Bitcoin can hold above this average at the weekly close, historical patterns suggest the current bear market is very likely over. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has broken above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages on the daily chart, signaling a sharp rise in short-term momentum. Some analysts believe this cycle’s low may already be in place, but with Bitcoin’s 7-day gain hitting roughly 25% and its 7-day Rate of Change (RoC) at an unusually high level not seen in nearly five years, historical data shows such extreme readings often precede short-term pullbacks or sideways consolidation rather than sustained straight-line gains. Going forward, the market will closely monitor whether Bitcoin can effectively break above and hold the 50-week MA to further confirm a trend reversal.

After Bitcoin rallied sharply by around 25% last week and briefly broke above $80,000, the market remains divided on the direction of its current trend. Technical indicators show Bitcoin’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen to 58.3, its highest level since the all-time high of $126,200 hit in October 2025, and it has formed a bullish divergence similar to that seen during the 2022 bear market bottom: prices had been making lower lows, while the weekly RSI formed higher lows. Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at Real Vision, notes that weekly-level bullish divergences are highly valuable for judging long-term trends and cycle inflection points, with similar signals in the past often followed by further price gains. However, short-term indicators show signs of overheating: Bitcoin’s daily RSI has climbed to 82.93, its highest level since November 2024. Some traders are cautious about short-term pullback risks, but some analysts argue that it is not uncommon for RSI to stay above the overbought threshold of 70 for extended periods during historical bull markets. Additionally, Bitcoin’s two-month Stochastic RSI recently formed the expected golden cross, a potential bullish signal for a trend shift. However, this indicator only hit a low of 4.81 this time, failing to drop to near-zero levels as seen in signals before historical bear market bottoms, so the market still needs further observation to confirm whether this rally marks the official end of the macro bear market.

Beating AI News Flash (Dong察) – Anthropic has revamped the streaming renderer for Claude’s web and desktop versions, the front-end module tasked with continuously displaying model-generated content on screen. The company states long responses are now roughly 4x smoother; stutters on slower computers are reduced by approximately 9x, while the worst-case freeze time has been cut by around 4.5x. The new version only updates content that is still changing on screen, avoiding full re-renders of entire responses. In Anthropic’s demo, a 120Hz MacBook maintained 120fps throughout content generation. Claude’s long-conversation stutters have been a longstanding issue: as early as 2024, users reported multi-second lags when copying, typing, or scrolling after long chats; in May this year, some users still complained of roughly 5-second operation delays in long desktop conversations.