Hong Kong-listed "AI Duo" face record short selling: MiniMax's short interest ratio surges to 20%
50 minutes ago
Beating AI Express: Short positions in two Chinese publicly listed large language model (LLM) companies, MiniMax and Zhipu AI, have hit all-time highs simultaneously. Data from S&P Global shows that shorted shares of MiniMax equal 20% of its freely tradable shares, while Zhipu’s short interest stands at around 6%. MiniMax will release its interim report after Hong Kong stock market closes on August 26, while Zhipu will report its results on August 31; short sellers are increasing their positions ahead of the earnings releases. Both firms were heavily hyped when they went public earlier this year. As of now, Zhipu’s stock remains over 800% above its IPO price, while MiniMax’s is roughly 80% above its IPO price, but both have fallen more than 50% from their peak levels. After Kimi K3 launched in July, Zhipu’s stock dropped around 24% at one point, while MiniMax’s fell approximately 18%. Zhipu later rolled out its GLM-5.3 model; Jefferies noted its performance is close to Kimi K3, with single-task costs around 19% lower, yet its stock price has not seen a meaningful rebound. Stock supply has also risen. The IPO lock-up periods expired in July, with 25.68 million shares of Zhipu and 150 million shares of MiniMax becoming tradable, totaling around $115 billion at the time’s prices. Meanwhile, southbound capital continues to buy the dips, with its holdings rising to roughly 12% of Zhipu and 8.1% of MiniMax, though this has failed to lift their share prices. Analysts hold different concerns about the two firms. Hedgeye says Zhipu is constrained by price wars, limiting its ability to raise prices and expand profit margins; MiniMax, meanwhile, is “neither the smartest nor the cheapest.” The two upcoming interim reports will answer one key question: Can pure-play LLM companies generate profits amid increasingly low-cost competition?
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