Following NVIDIA's earnings report, institutions including Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase have collectively raised their price targets.
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Nvidia’s earnings report has once again become a watershed moment for AI trading in the US stock market. The company’s fiscal Q2 revenue hit $96.2 billion, up 106% year-over-year; data center revenue reached $89 billion, surging 117% YoY. Its fiscal Q3 revenue guidance of $108 billion is above market consensus. More importantly, Nvidia projected its next fiscal year revenue will grow by around 70%, significantly easing market concerns that AI capital expenditure (capex) has peaked. After the earnings release, Wall Street quickly revised up its valuation anchors: Goldman Sachs raised Nvidia’s price target from $285 to $300, Citi from $300 to $315, JPMorgan Chase from $280 to $320, and Bernstein SocGen hiked theirs sharply to $400. Institutions including Mizuho, Stifel, Evercore and Melius also followed suit in raising price targets, indicating the divergence among sell-side analysts on the sustainability of AI chip demand is narrowing. The secondary market reaction was immediate: Nvidia rose 8.7% on Thursday, adding around $441.5 billion in market cap, driving the Nasdaq up 1.6% and the S&P 500 up 0.7. Against the backdrop of previous market skepticism over overheated AI trades, cloud vendors’ capex returns and Nvidia’s complex financing arrangements, this earnings report effectively reinjected confidence into the entire AI infrastructure chain. However, new pricing priorities are emerging. The market will continue to monitor the production ramp of the Rubin platform, whether gross margins can stay at high levels, the recovery of revenue from China’s data centers, and whether Nvidia’s potential balance sheet commitments will rise after it promotes AI data center construction through collaborative financing.
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