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This Week in Crypto Markets: U.S. August Non-Farm Payrolls Take Center Stage, Russia Kicks Off Large-Scale Digital Ruble Promotion

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This week’s crypto market preview is as follows: U.S. August employment data will be a key macro event shaping crypto market trends in early September. The U.S. August Non-Farm Payrolls report is due September 4, with market projections of 58,000 new jobs, compared to a prior decline of 23,000. The unemployment rate is expected to hit 4.1%, versus the previous reading of 4.2%. Earlier, U.S. July non-farm payrolls fell by 23,000, and May and June employment data were revised down by a combined 103,000, further boosting the importance of this month’s jobs figures. Additional economic releases include U.S. ADP employment data, JOLTS job openings, ISM manufacturing and services PMIs, and initial jobless claims, which will roll out sequentially. If employment data shows notable weakness, it could reduce market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, pushing U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar lower; a rebound in employment, meanwhile, may reinforce expectations of sustained high interest rates or further monetary tightening. On the crypto front, Russia will kick off the first large-scale promotion phase of the digital ruble on September 1, while closing its public consultation on the regulatory framework for ruble stablecoins. A UK parliamentary inquiry into how bank and payment restrictions impact crypto firms will also wrap up on August 31. Separately, Kraken will liquidate remaining user balances in 21 delisted assets between September 1 and 5. This week also brings a packed schedule of governance and token events: Ethena will vote on activating a fee switch, with related revenues earmarked to repurchase ENA based on USDe supply milestones; Arbitrum DAO will hold a vote on launching a paid Fast Feed transaction data stream; Sushi will vote on restructuring its token economic model and deploying protocol liquidity to Robinhood Chain; Lisk will vote on shutting down its DAO, burning 100 million LSK tokens, and eliminating staking penalties.

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The Trump administration has frequently intervened in financial markets, and the European Central Bank (ECB) fears this "claw" could extend to the Federal Reserve.

ECB officials have recently grown increasingly concerned over the US government’s frequent interventions in foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Sources familiar with the matter said that during last week’s Jackson Hole Symposium, Federal Reserve officials proactively reached out to reassure their European counterparts, committing to upholding existing international cooperation arrangements. However, given the Fed’s institutional independence from the US administration, Fed officials cannot guarantee that the Trump administration will not abruptly reverse course. European officials are particularly focused on recent financial market operations by the US Treasury. On August 1, the US Treasury intervened in FX markets by selling euros and buying yen, and European sides expressed dissatisfaction over the US failure to provide advance notice of such operations as is customary. Additionally, US Treasury Secretary Bessent’s recent expansion of long-term Treasury repurchase operations has also sparked European officials’ concerns over the growing blurring of lines between fiscal, exchange rate and monetary policies. European officials further warned that if the US administration continues to deploy financial tools for economic and trade goals, markets could start questioning the Fed’s policy independence and the stability of the US dollar swap lines. There are also worries that the US government may further pressure the Fed to directly intervene in Treasury markets in the future. No signs have emerged that the dollar swap arrangements will change. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has recently stepped up communication with European policymakers, and his performance in international financial cooperation has drawn relatively positive feedback from European officials.

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China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) supports the rollout of AI applications: FDE on-site presence, token purchases, and computing power voucher issuances.

Beating AI Express (Insight): China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has launched a special initiative to cultivate AI application service providers. Local governments are encouraged to leverage measures such as first-purchase and first-use policies, and risk compensation to boost procurement of large models, intelligent agents, and Token services, while using tools like "computing power vouchers" to cut computing costs. The MIIT will also build a national resource pool for AI application service providers, targeting over 2,000 such providers by the end of 2026 and no fewer than 3,000 by the end of 2027. These providers mainly assist enterprises in rolling out AI projects, with services covering pre-consultation, solution design, system development, integration and delivery, as well as post-launch operation and maintenance and security governance. The policy also specifically highlights FDE (Field Deployment Engineers), encouraging service providers to form FDE teams to work directly at user sites to resolve project implementation challenges. Local authorities will also open real business scenarios, organize supply-demand matching, and convert high-frequency, essential business needs into standardized AI products that can be delivered repeatedly.

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Bybit launches PONS perpetual contracts today.

Bybit today adds the new Pons (PONSUSDT) perpetual contract, supporting up to 20x leverage.

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OpenAI rolls out results-based pricing: Some major clients only pay when the AI delivers actual results.

Beating AI News reports that OpenAI has in recent months introduced a new payment model to some of its large enterprise clients: customers only pay once AI has fully completed their tasks. The Information notes that use cases already implemented include customer service. Businesses can pay based on the actual customer service tasks AI completes, rather than being billed solely by tokens, API calls, or seat counts. OpenAI has not disclosed specific client names, pricing details, or the criteria for defining "task completion," and declined to comment on the matter. This is not a new package OpenAI is rolling out for all enterprises; the official public pricing for its Enterprise plan remains primarily based on usage quotas and tokens, so this "pay-per-result" model appears to be custom contracts negotiated exclusively with select large clients. OpenAI has long signaled this direction: in January this year, CFO Sarah Friar stated that AI business models would shift toward pay-per-result in the future, and in July, OpenAI further noted that rather than focusing on token unit prices, the industry should prioritize the total cost for AI to complete a task. This approach has now been incorporated into actual contracts.

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Nearly $80 million in Bitcoin buy orders were front-run, while a new address plans to go long near $75,000.

According to monitoring by TradingBeats (formerly Hyperinsight), a recently created address placed 30 non-position-reducing limit buy orders for BTC at 14:22 today, with prices ranging from $75,000 to $76,000. The total planned purchase volume is 1,046.7831 BTC, translating to a nominal value of approximately $79.032 million based on the order prices. The address currently holds no open positions; all 30 orders are identical in size at 34.892 BTC each, with each order valued between roughly $2.62 million and $2.65 million. BTC is currently trading at $78,689.4, meaning these buy orders are priced 3.42% to 4.69% below the current market rate. It is learned that this address was activated four days ago, receiving around $5.1 million in funds, after which it executed four short positions that yielded a profit of $330,000. If the orders are filled, this will mark the address’s first long position. On-chain perpetual and address analysis tool TradingBeats is now live, supporting real-time viewing of Hyperliquid data, enabling in-depth analysis from address tracing to whale operations, with comprehensive insights available at a glance.

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Polymarket experiences outage, trading functions temporarily suspended.

Prediction market platform Polymarket suffered a major outage on August 31. Its official status page shows that the Trading API (CLOB) encountered "open order read response delays" starting around 6:30 UTC, resulting in a full suspension of trading. The platform’s website remains accessible and market data can be viewed, but users cannot place orders. The team is working on repairs, with a target to restore trading by 10:00 UTC at the latest. Ahead of the recovery, Polymarket will enter a 15-minute mode allowing only order cancellations. All other systems—including the website, data, and authentication services—are operating normally.

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