Analysis: Bitcoin may be shifting from a 4-year cycle to a 6 to 8-year cycle.
2026.09.03 16:20:37
On-chain analyst Willy Woo has published a post noting that Bitcoin has long been shaped by its halving mechanism, creating a relatively regular 4-year cycle. But as the supply boost from halving continues to fade, this endogenous cyclical driver is growing less significant. Woo highlighted that BTC’s current annual new supply makes up roughly 0.8% of its total supply, a figure set to fall further to 0.4% going forward. Meanwhile, short-term debt cycles in traditional financial markets typically span 6 to 8 years, leading him to argue Bitcoin may be gradually transitioning from its prior 4-year cycle to a 6 to 8-year one. The present period could mark the transitional stage of this cyclical structural shift.
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang is discussing plans to return to the company with his allies, while Silicon Valley executives plan to form a "war room" to lobby the firm's board of directors.
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Monday price preview for US and South Korean stock markets: SK Hynix is projected to open down approximately 3.8%, with most US stocks trading lower in pre-market hours.
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US Treasury Secretary warns Federal Reserve against further monetary policy tightening.
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US Treasury Secretary: Significant changes needed to NVIDIA's leadership
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