Bitwise: The correlation between Bitcoin and gold has risen to its highest level since 2020, while its correlation with US stocks has fallen to a one-year low.
1 days ago
André Dragosch, Head of European Research at Bitwise, published a report stating that Bitcoin’s 90-day rolling correlation with gold has risen to its highest level since 2020, while its correlation with the Nasdaq 100 index has fallen to a one-year low. Meanwhile, Bitcoin remains significantly negatively correlated with the U.S. Dollar Index. In August, U.S. long-term Treasury yields climbed, leading Treasury Secretary Besent to intervene in the market by expanding long-term Treasury repurchase operations. After this move, Bitcoin surged 22.4% in a single week, marking its largest weekly gain since March 2024; gold rose roughly 5% over the same period, while stocks dropped. The last time Bitcoin’s correlation with gold hit such a high was after governments rolled out fiscal and monetary stimulus during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic. Bitcoin and gold remain distinct assets, but as macroeconomic pressure and currency devaluation risks grow, investors are increasingly holding both as hedges, with Bitcoin recently acting as a more volatile proxy for gold. If this correlation trend persists, Bitcoin could enter a larger capital pool led by central banks, sovereign entities, and asset allocators, and face repricing.
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