CoinGecko: On-Chain Pre-IPO Perpetual Contract Market Becomes Effective Valuation Metric
2 hours ago
In its latest Real World Assets (RWA) report, CoinGecko notes that the synthetic pre-IPO market has emerged as an effective valuation indicator for traditional IPOs. On-chain perpetual contracts can provide continuous price discovery and market sentiment anchors for high-profile private companies ahead of their official exchange listings. The report cites SpaceX and ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) as examples: Ahead of SpaceX’s listing, perpetual contract prices across platforms fluctuated between $158 and $170 before gradually converging to around $157.40. When its first trade on Nasdaq hit $150.05, the price gap was approximately 4.9%. The deviation between CXMT’s pre-listing perpetual contract prices and its actual opening price was also around 4.6%. CoinGecko argues that even without real spot stocks serving as immediate arbitrage anchors, traders still form relatively concentrated quotes based on valuation, listing hype, and future liquidity. As a result, on-chain pre-IPO perpetual contracts will become an important reference price before traditional order books open, while also offering global investors a 24-hour channel to express bullish or bearish expectations.
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