Federal Reserve's No. 3 official Williams: Another interest rate hike this year is 'reasonable'
40 minutes ago
New York Fed President Williams said today that U.S. inflation remains significantly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, and the central bank still has “a lot of work to do” to curb inflation amid high energy prices and strong demand driven by AI investment. He called another interest rate hike this year a “reasonable” expectation, but stressed that future policy decisions will depend on economic data. Williams noted that the U.S. economy has shown resilience after major shocks, but persistent energy price pressures and strong demand from AI investment have raised inflation risks. He pointed out that U.S. inflation has exceeded the Fed’s target for five consecutive years. The Federal Reserve unanimously raised interest rates by 25 basis points last week, lifting the federal funds rate target range to 3.75%-4%. The latest dot plot shows 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more rate hike before the end of 2026. Williams said each future policy meeting will be decided based on the latest economic and inflation data. Markets have also increased bets on an October rate hike: CME FedWatch data shows that as of September 24, the market’s probability of a Fed rate hike in October is around 70%, up from about 54% the previous day. In addition, Williams noted that AI investment has become a new variable on the demand side. While AI investment could drive productivity growth in the coming years, its actual contribution to overall productivity remains limited for now.
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