Morgan Stanley: The Federal Reserve may raise interest rates by a smaller margin than market expectations.
1 hours ago
Morgan Stanley interest rate strategists stated in a report that following the Federal Reserve’s September rate hike, they project additional increases in December and March next year. However, current market pricing points to a more aggressive rate hike trajectory over the coming year. The strategists highlighted that uncertainty surrounding the Fed, economic growth, corporate bond issuance, and oil price movements is boosting expectations of further monetary policy tightening over the next 12 months. Still, Morgan Stanley argues the Fed’s actual tightening will not align with market expectations, as key factors shaping the central bank’s policy path will only become clearer later this year. Per data from the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG), money markets are currently pricing in a total of 100 basis points of Fed rate hikes over the next 12 months.
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