Goldman Sachs: Persian Gulf oil exports have recovered to the average level of 2025.
3 hours ago
Goldman Sachs estimates that oil exports from the Persian Gulf, including "under-the-table exports," have rebounded to the 2025 average level after doubling in September. Saudi Arabia led this rebound, with its exports rising above the 2025 average, while Iran did not export crude oil via sea routes in September. Analyst Eamonn Sheridan noted that Goldman Sachs' estimate further reinforces the market theme of supply recovery, the very factor that drove the sharp drop in oil prices yesterday. In a report at the end of August, Goldman Sachs stated that even if Middle East supply disruptions persist for longer, the growing "dark fleet shipping" could cap crude oil price gains, and the latest data further supports this view. The report also pointed out that if supply disruptions continue, upside potential for refined oil products and European natural gas could exceed that of crude oil, which aligns with the market's current focus on diesel supply. (Jin10)
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