Tom Lee: Future inflation data is expected to cool, with the crypto bull market and stock market’s new highs already pricing in upcoming loose financial conditions.
1 hours ago
Tom Lee told CNBC in an interview: "I think ahead of last week's jobs report, the market was pricing in the 'most hawkish Fed' scenario, expecting three interest rate hikes, including a 75% probability of a rate hike in October. But ultimately, the jobs report came in weaker. We will get the September inflation report in two weeks. In our view, we believe some one-off factors are fading, so I think inflation data will be soft over the next six months. This will not only allow the Fed to backtrack from its hawkish stance, but also push bond yields to truly normalize as inflation uncertainty begins to ease. Moreover, I see many signs: tech stocks hitting new highs and cryptocurrencies performing so well—this is impossible under tight monetary conditions. So I think they are pricing in looser financial conditions ahead of time."
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