Well-known trader Killa: Bitcoin may bottom out before the midterm elections, and the post-midterm rally requires caution.
51 minutes ago
Well-known trader Killa recently released a video predicting market trends around the U.S. midterm elections. His analysis summarizes the historical timeline correlation between midterm elections and Bitcoin’s bottoming: in 2014, Bitcoin bottomed roughly 70 days after the midterms; in 2018, 40-44 days post-midterms; in 2022, it bottomed almost during the midterm period itself. He believes Bitcoin could form a weekly-level bottom ahead of the November 3 U.S. midterms. Killa outlined two main scenarios: 1. Early bottom scenario: BTC forms a low before or around the midterms (possibly testing the current low, or holding above $80k), then rebounds, first testing the $80k zone, and potentially hitting $95k eventually. This would lead to a bullish fourth quarter, contrary to the widespread expectation of "post-election de-risking". 2. Classic de-risking scenario: Bitcoin rallies to a high (possibly hitting $94-$95k), then sees the typical post-election sell-off/de-risking drop observed in history (3 out of the past 4 midterm cycles followed this pattern). Killa advises investors to closely monitor price action ahead of the midterms and adjust positions accordingly: if an early bottom forms, hold bullish positions post-election; if the rally weakens after peaking, consider de-risking. He stresses that patterns are accelerating, so the historical "post-election must fall" experience cannot be simply copied. As a quantitative trader focused on BTC, Killa correctly predicted the peak of the current bull market in May 2025, and has over 200,000 followers on X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at $74,688, and switched to long positions during the broad market sell-off on June 5.
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