Next Week's Macro Outlook: Federal Reserve Enters Blackout Period, Jensen Huang to Appear at GTC Berlin, Meta and Tesla's Earnings Reports Will Be the Market Focus
52 minutes ago
Last week, US tech stocks saw a sharp pullback, with the Nasdaq down over 4% for the week. While digesting stronger-than-expected inflation data, markets are re-examining the "unbreakable economy" narrative. The Federal Reserve has entered the pre-FOMC meeting blackout period ahead of the Oct 28 policy meeting, with no official remarks. This week’s asset pricing will hinge more on tech giants’ earnings and economic data: Meta and Tesla will release results, while the semiconductor and storage sectors also enter their earnings disclosure window. Friday’s preliminary PMI readings for the US and Europe, plus the final Michigan consumer confidence index, will test the interest rate hike path. Geopolitically, Trump has suspended full-scale sanctions and tariffs on Russia, setting a roughly 60-day review period. Disruptions to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and rising Middle East tensions continue to support oil price premiums. Key events this week: Tuesday: NVIDIA GTC Berlin kicks off (runs through Oct 22) Wednesday: US API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ended Oct 16; NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang delivers a keynote at GTC Berlin in the evening (Beijing time); US stocks enter a heavy earnings day, with Meta, Tesla, IBM, and Lam Research reporting results after market close Thursday: US initial jobless claims for the week ended Oct 17; Nokia reports earnings before the US market opens, while Western Digital and MaxLinear report after close Friday: Preliminary S&P Global US manufacturing and services PMI for October; final University of Michigan consumer confidence index and 1-year inflation expectations for October; September CPI and preliminary composite/manufacturing/services PMI for Japan, as markets gauge price trends ahead of the Bank of Japan’s Oct 30 policy meeting
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