Middle Eastern crude oil exports rebound, with sharp surges in freight rates leaving Asian refiners unable to mask their profit squeeze.
59 minutes ago
Middle East crude oil exports continue to recover, but surging transportation and insurance costs are sharply squeezing the profits of Asian refiners. Data from HiLo Analytics shows that Asian refiners have an average gross profit of around $40 per barrel. After deducting roughly $33 in freight costs, net profit shrinks to just about $7 per barrel, with freight eating up approximately 82% of gross profit. In contrast, this figure is only around 16% for refiners on the U.S. Gulf Coast and in Northwestern Europe. On the supply side, data from Kpler indicates that Middle East crude oil exports rebounded to 15.4 million barrels per day in September, roughly 90% of pre-war levels. Asia’s crude oil imports in October are projected to hit 23.5 million barrels per day, the highest level since February this year. However, Iran’s attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz continue to drive up freight and insurance costs, with transportation costs on some routes reaching several times pre-war levels. To attract Asian buyers, Middle East oil producers have been forced to slash crude oil prices significantly, with some discounts reaching up to $30 per barrel. But this strategy of trading lower prices for higher volumes still struggles to offset the pressure from logistics costs. If refiners further cut operating rates or switch to other crude oil sources, the recovery in Middle East exports could be hampered again.
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