SemiAnalysis: Data centers may face oversupply by 2028, with the current landscape marked by chip oversupply and power constraints.
1 hours ago
Jeremie Ontiveros, head of data center and energy research at semiconductor research firm SemiAnalysis, said the market is already seeing a degree of chip oversupply, and securing GPUs is easier than securing data center power. He noted that forecasting for data centers is relatively straightforward, as it can be tracked in advance via infrastructure signals, while chip supply chains are far more volatile. Looking ahead to 2026 and 2027, the market is demonstrating strong energy responsiveness. Ontiveros warned that by 2028, supply chain risks could reverse, creating a potential risk of oversupply in data centers. Currently, the industry is more concerned about oversupply of data services than chip oversupply, and the expansion pace of the chip supply chain will be a core metric to monitor closely going forward. This expansion is a strong positive signal for capital expenditure, including investments in new semiconductor fabs and the purchase of new equipment.
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