A well-known trader noted that altcoins have fallen near their support levels, and plans to gradually go long amid bearish market sentiment.
Renowned trader Doctor Profit stated in a post that altcoins have dropped roughly 10% since he exited his altcoin positions when Bitcoin reached $86,000. Doctor Profit added that current market sentiment is extremely bearish, and the altcoin market is sitting near support levels, so he plans to gradually establish long positions in select altcoins.
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US retail investors’ bottom-fishing in semiconductor leveraged ETFs takes a hit, with SOXL plunging 20.5% in a single day.
FactSet data shows that Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) drew $6.1 billion in inflows last week, a new single-week record. Investors were betting on a rebound in chip stocks, but SOXL still dropped 10.8% this week, marking its third straight weekly decline, with a cumulative fall of over 43% since October. Inflows continued through Thursday, but SOXL plunged 20.5% that day, its largest single-day drop since June 23. By comparison, non-leveraged iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) fell 6.8% on the same day, with a cumulative decline of around 15.9% since October. SOXL uses derivatives to track three times the daily performance of the semiconductor index, amplifying both gains and downside risks. The semiconductor sector is under pressure mainly due to market skepticism about the return on investment in AI infrastructure. Investors are reassessing whether tech giants’ aggressive spending can meet earnings expectations. Earlier, AI chip demand lifted semiconductor stocks, with SOXX’s year-to-date gain once nearing 59%, but recent sell-offs have tested its rally. Mike Reynolds, vice president of investment strategy at Glenmede, noted that semiconductors are highly sensitive to AI infrastructure development, and AI-related trades are currently facing some doubt. He added that after strong stock rallies and valuation expansions, investors’ re-examination of the AI theme’s potential returns is a healthy market move. Meanwhile, all three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower on Friday, with the S&P 500 Information Technology sector falling for the third consecutive week, its longest weekly losing streak since March.
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Initia discloses details of the MoveVM vulnerability attack, suffering losses of approximately $2.7 million, while the INIT token supply remains unaffected.
Initia disclosed that at 22:59 Beijing time on October 23, attackers exploited a MoveVM script cache vulnerability to bypass security checks, forging states to add unsupported WETH, iUSD, and USDC balances to their accounts without altering the total supply of the respective tokens. The native INIT token was not minted, and its total supply remained unaffected. Before the network was shut down, the attacker transferred 105 WETH and approximately 1.4 million AUSD0 via LayerZero, and around 1.08 million USDC via Noble and CCTP, with total assets valued at roughly $2.7 million. These assets have been converted into 1135.52 ETH. Initia's L1 and Rollups remain suspended. The team is fixing the vulnerability, with repairs and audits expected to be completed within days, and is working with security partners to recover the stolen assets. The official added that a full incident analysis report will be released later, and reminded users to beware of unofficial links, messages, and statements.
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Analyst: Bitcoin has seen notable pullbacks in every prior U.S. midterm election cycle, and its key support level of $73,000 requires close attention.
Crypto analyst Ali Charts wrote in a post that as the November 3 US midterm elections approach, investors may overlook the recurring Bitcoin pullbacks seen in previous election cycles. He believes this election could again bring significant volatility, with downside risks worth noting, and his key support level to watch is $73,000. According to his statistics, Bitcoin saw pullbacks of 72%, 65%, 52%, and 27% during the US midterm election cycles in 2010, 2014, 2018, and 2022 respectively. However, he emphasized that correlation does not equal causation; the elections themselves may not be the cause of the drops, and these pullbacks are also influenced by Bitcoin’s overall market cycle, liquidity conditions, and investor sentiment.
Q4 returns show a similar pattern: Bitcoin fell 16.70%, 42.16%, and 14.75% in Q4 of 2014, 2018, and 2022 respectively. The only exception was 2010, when it rose 391%—though Bitcoin was still in its early stages back then. As a result, three of the past four midterm election years saw negative Q4 returns.
Regarding future price action, Ali Charts noted that the $73,000 level is near the average acquisition cost of Bitcoin’s current short-term holders, making it a key area to monitor the positioning of recent investors. He pointed out that in an established bull market, Bitcoin often finds support near the short-term holder average cost after a significant pullback. He believes that if selling pressure accelerates after the November 3 elections, pushing Bitcoin back toward $73,000, this zone will be a critical level to test whether buyers are still willing to uphold the overall bullish trend. If prices rebound sustainably from this area, it will reinforce the bullish thesis. For trading, he will wait for signs of selling pressure drying up and demand reemerging before considering opening long positions.
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SpaceX’s $40 billion off-balance-sheet debt financing is facing pressure on pricing negotiations amid turmoil in the AI market.
According to Bloomberg, citing people familiar with the matter, SpaceX is negotiating a $40 billion off-balance-sheet debt financing plan, which would use a special purpose vehicle (SPV) to purchase Nvidia chips to support its AI business expansion. The structure is designed to keep the related liabilities off SpaceX’s balance sheet, preserving its investment-grade credit rating. However, recent turmoil in the AI sector has pushed up industry borrowing costs, complicating pricing negotiations. Banks led by Goldman Sachs are discussing the plan with investors led by Apollo; Apollo-backed Atlas SP would manage the entity, with Pimco also considering participation.
Previously, yields on some subordinated debt were discussed in the mid-8% to 9% range, but recent volatility has prompted investors to reevaluate pricing, and the two sides remain in talks. SpaceX’s financial filings this week also revealed that last year, xAI had attempted to raise up to $20 billion in off-balance-sheet debt via a sale-leaseback arrangement with Valor Equity Partners. Auditors classified the deal as a “failed sale-leaseback arrangement”, leading SpaceX to eventually record roughly $13 billion of the sum as its own debt. The proposed structure aims to avoid a repeat of that outcome.
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South Korean stock market's retail war chest shrank by 36.5%; retail investors continued net buying, but capital replenishment has slowed.
Data from Korea Financial Investment Association shows that as of October 22, investor deposits at South Korean securities firms fell to 88.68 trillion won, a drop of around 51 trillion won from the all-time high of 139.69 trillion won recorded on June 4, representing a 36.5% decline and returning to levels seen at the start of the year. The balance dipped below 90 trillion won on October 21, marking the first such drop in nearly nine months.
Investor deposits refer to funds held in securities firm accounts that have not yet been used to purchase assets such as stocks, and are typically viewed as potential buying power. The decline in the balance can stem from either stock purchases or fund withdrawals, so the full drop cannot be equated to capital exiting the stock market.
Retail investors continue to make net purchases. Between June 4 and October 23, individual investors bought a net 44.17 trillion won in the KOSPI market and 3.15 trillion won in the KOSDAQ market, while net purchases of ETFs over the same period reached 28.25 trillion won. The report notes that unlike the first half of the year, where new capital inflows exceeded stock purchases, the pace of capital replenishment in the second half has lagged behind outflows, leading to the continuous decline in deposit balances.
The KOSPI index closed at 5550.30 points on October 23, having fallen nearly 20% over the past month. A securities industry official said the recent decline is indeed excessive relative to earnings fundamentals, but the AI sector, which previously drove gains, still faces credit risk concerns, making it too early to expect a sustained rebound.
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