Lookonchain APP

App Store

The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in October is only around 10%, with markets pricing in another rate hike in December, and Fed official Walsh’s speech next week has become a key focus.

1 days ago

Current market consensus expects the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to hold interest rates steady at its next rate-setting meeting next Wednesday. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool shows the market assigns only a roughly 10% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Fed in October. Some Fed officials have recently leaned toward pausing rate hikes to assess inflation trends and the impact of surging energy prices driven by the Middle East conflict. While expectations for an October rate hike have cooled, the market still broadly anticipates another Fed rate hike in December. David Mericle, chief U.S. economist at Goldman Sachs, believes the Fed may adopt a pace of 25-basis-point rate hikes at every other policy meeting, with the next hike likely in December and another in March next year. Another key highlight of the upcoming meeting is the press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Since Powell has consistently avoided providing clear forward guidance, the market will closely watch his remarks on recent inflation, financial conditions, and the threshold for further monetary policy tightening in 2027.

Relevant content

Analyst: Bitcoin's trading range continues to narrow, with the 365-day moving average serving as a key support level on the downside.

Analyst Axel Adler Jr. noted in a post that Bitcoin prices remain in a tight consolidating range, with its 30-day high-low volatility narrowing from 13% to 6%. The cryptocurrency has now traded sideways between $80,000 and $86,000 for 9 consecutive days. Historically, sustained contraction in volatility often precedes a directional market move. Yesterday, Bitcoin found support near its 365-day simple moving average (SMA 365), then rebounded to close at $80,500, though it marked a near 30-day low. Key levels to watch going forward include the $86,000 resistance on the upside, and the SMA 365 support on the downside.

10 minutes ago

South Korea delays crypto asset income tax collection originally scheduled to take effect next January.

According to Seoul Economic Daily, South Korea’s presidential office has decided to further delay the implementation of the crypto asset income tax originally scheduled for January next year. A presidential office official said on the 25th that relevant discussions lean toward the delay. South Korea’s government amended the Income Tax Act in 2020 to impose tax on crypto asset gains, but the policy has already been delayed three times. The original plan was for the tax system to take effect on January 1, 2027. Per the revised Income Tax Act, annual income from crypto asset transfers or lending, after deducting a basic exemption of 2.5 million won, is taxed at 22% (combining national and local income taxes). South Korea also took into account that the U.S. will join the Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF) starting in 2029, leading to the delay. CARF is an international tax information exchange mechanism, under which participating countries’ tax authorities can collect users’ residency and transaction data from crypto asset service providers and exchange such data cross-border. Given that the U.S. is a large crypto trading market and joined the framework late, if South Korea had implemented the tax earlier, it would have resulted in an excessive tax burden falling on users of South Korea’s domestic crypto trading platforms.

10 minutes ago

Nomura Securities: The memory chip shortage will persist until 2028, and the sector’s valuation is severely undervalued.

Nomura Securities said market concerns over the investment outlook for artificial intelligence amount to an overreaction, adding that the storage chip shortage will persist until 2028 and the storage sector has been severely undervalued.

10 minutes ago

Binance to Launch Pre-Market Trading for PREDICT Perpetual Contracts

According to an official announcement, Binance’s derivatives platform will launch pre-market trading for the PREDICTUSDT perpetual contract at 15:45 (GMT+8) on October 25, 2026, with a maximum leverage of up to 5x.

10 minutes ago

ai16z founder Shaw: 90% of the reverse engineering work on the Pump.fun contract is complete.

ai16z founder Shaw announced in a post that he has completed 90% of the reverse engineering work for all Pump.fun contracts, and expects to wrap up the remaining work tonight. He stated, "I will open source everything, otherwise it will be forced to open source."

10 minutes ago

Four.Meme launches Binance Agent ID-exclusive mode, built for BSC AI agents.

According to official news, Four.Meme has launched a new OpenFour launch model, the "Binance Agent ID Exclusive Mode", tailored for AI agents on BNB Chain and supported by Binance Wallet. During the bonding curve phase, trading is limited to Binance Agentic wallets holding an Agent ID, with each wallet eligible to purchase up to 1% of the total token supply, and the tokens are non-transferable. Once the token completes its "graduation", trading will open to all users. Users only need to enable developer mode in their Binance Agentic wallet to participate. This mode allows any wallet to initiate a token launch, supports fundraising in BNB, and optionally enables transaction taxes. Developers can pre-purchase tokens worth up to 1.5% of the raised amount before launch and sell them on the bonding curve, but cannot continue buying after the token launch goes live. All tokens launched via this mode will be labeled with a ".ai" tag on the Four.Meme platform.

10 minutes ago

Popular tokens

BitcoinEthereumHyperliquidSolanaTRONBNBTetherAaveXRPPepeFartcoinOndoJupiterUniswapBonkPendleEthenaArbitrumAvalancheLidoChainlinkPolygonDogecoinCardano