Predict.fun: Probability of Democrats sweeping both chambers in U.S. midterm elections rises to 92%

Latest data from prediction market platform Predict.fun shows the probability that the Democratic Party wins both the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives in the midterm elections has risen to 92%. The second most likely outcome, at 9%, is the Republican Party retaining control of the Senate while the Democrats take the House. The probability of Republicans holding both chambers stands at 1%, as does the scenario where Democrats take the Senate and Republicans keep the House. As of 7 p.m. ET on November 3, U.S. midterm election voting was ongoing, while polling stations in Georgia, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia, and Indiana have all closed, ending voting in those states. Additionally, voting in some U.S. House districts in Florida has concluded, with polls in the rest of the state set to close at 8 p.m. ET the same day. As polling stations across states close one after another, vote counting in relevant districts will begin gradually.