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AI market suffers an epic crash, with numerous self-proclaimed "stock gurus" seeing their profits plunge sharply; Leopold's September call options may be nearly worthless.

19 minutes ago

Following an epic correction in the U.S. AI stock sector yesterday, a group of previously highly profitable "stock gurus" face their ultimate test. According to a prior CNBC report citing sources, "AI stock guru" Leopold’s firm Situational Awareness reactivated in the options market in mid-September and repurchased options on underlying assets including AMD (AMD), Bloom Energy (BE), CoreWeave (CREV), SK Hynix (SKHY), SanDisk (SNDK), and DRAM ETF (DRAM). Community leaks show Situational Awareness’s positions are mostly call spreads—combinations of buying lower-strike options and selling higher-strike ones—with total premiums of roughly $315 million. Comparing price trends, if its positions have not changed, the holdings likely hold very little remaining time value (expiring in January, assumed to be January 2027, about two months from now), far insufficient to cover the $315 million in premiums paid. Additionally, another "white-haired stock guru" who rose to fame via AI stock investments, Serenity, officially announced large losses as early as late October. Per screenshots of his tweets, as of October 22, his personal account saw a sharp drawdown, with a single-period loss of approximately $13.58 million. He has not updated his profit and loss status since, but based on Serenity’s latest tweets which continue to publicly track and reference related assets, his holdings are still expected to mainly include AI hardware upstream "bottleneck" stocks such as LITE, AAOI, MRVL, SIVE, COHR, and NVDA. These stocks generally fell 10-22% during the AI stock correction from late October to early November.

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