Jensen Huang’s cheating scandal is escalating, with a prediction market account holding a 95% win rate forecasting the likelihood of his stepping down.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on November 8, Nvidia’s board of directors announced it would launch an independent investigation following recent reports that Jensen Huang was a target of foreign intelligence activities. On the same day, in a letter to employees, Huang admitted to infidelity with his wife, took full responsibility, and supported the board’s investigation. On prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of "Jensen Huang resigning or being removed as Nvidia CEO this year" stands at 15.5%. Trader Parz1vaI purchased $23,100 in the "No" option: this account has a 79.9% win rate across 360 tech sector market trades, with a profit and loss (PnL) of +$76,900 and return on investment (ROI) of +6.0%. This trade’s investment is 6.55 times its average investment in the sector. Trader Gdub bought $1,700 in the "No" option: this account has a 70% win rate across 93 financial sector market trades, with a PnL of +$7,500 and ROI of +4.1%. This trade’s investment is 0.86 times its average investment in the sector. Trader Seutervoinen bought $1,500 in the "No" option: this account has a 95.2% win rate across 64 financial sector market trades, with a PnL of +$11,600 and ROI of +3.1%. This trade’s investment is 0.25 times its average investment in the sector. On the same day, Trump told CNN he had not spoken to Huang after Nvidia announced the investigation, calling Huang "a good guy" and noting "he probably has an explanation for this." This is not a resignation announcement from Nvidia or Huang himself. The market settles on whether news of Huang resigning or being removed as Nvidia CEO will be officially announced before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Resignation includes retirement, stepping down, and transferring to another internal role; removal includes being fired or having his position terminated by the board. The announcement only needs to take effect within 18 months, not requiring actual departure before the end of the year.