NVIDIA fell 4% in after-hours trading, with the probability of it declining an additional 10% this month approaching 50%.

Per PolyBeats monitoring, on Nov. 9, driven by the Jensen Huang extramarital affair, Nvidia’s post-market decline deepened, trading at $178.97, down 4.11%. On prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of "Nvidia (NVDA) falling to $160 in November" stands at 43%. Based on the current post-market price of $178.97, a drop to $160 would equal a 10.6% decline. Account ysgsss purchased $2,000 worth of "No" contracts (3,100 contracts, 30.61% of its position, average price $0.6553). This account holds an 82.6% win rate across 23 NVDA-related market trades, with a profit and loss (PnL) of +$809 and return on investment (ROI) of +8.0%. The trade’s investment is 4.6 times its average allocation in this sector. Sam Badawi posted that after Huang admitted to the extramarital affair, Nvidia’s board has launched an investigation, noting no reason to believe confidential data was compromised. South Korea’s Industry Minister said the current issues affecting Nvidia will not impact the country’s contracted GPU supply from the firm. On-chain: Per TradingBeats monitoring, a whale wallet starting with 0xc3ed opened a new NVDA short position worth ~$5.44 million after Nvidia’s board released its independent investigation statement, with an average entry price of $181.33 and 10x full leverage. As of press time, the position has an unrealized profit of ~$65,200.