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X trader TwoEyes bets the US will end lockdowns in November, and holds long positions worth tens of millions of dollars in Bitcoin and gold.

12 minutes ago

According to TradingBeats monitoring, cross-market trader TwoEyes (X handle: two_gifts_) invested approximately $7,594 in the early hours of today to buy the "Yes" prediction for "the U.S. announcing the end of its blockade on Iran by the end of November". The average execution price corresponds to an implied probability of around 21.8%. Currently, the market probability for this outcome has dropped to 17.5%, and the position is valued at roughly $6,088, with an unrealized loss of about $1,506. The same account also allocated around $1,964 to purchase the "Yes" prediction for "Russia and Ukraine reaching a ceasefire agreement by the end of the year". On Hyperliquid, TwoEyes’ current main long positions are concentrated in gold and BTC, with a combined notional value of approximately $10.749 million: - Gold: Long position worth about $6.3163 million, average entry price of $4,013.41, unrealized profit of roughly $157,400. - BTC: Long position worth around $4.4326 million, average entry price of $74,298.2, unrealized profit of about $26,800. During today’s position adjustments, the account exited its ETH long position, cut its WLD holdings by roughly half, and opened a new XRP long position worth approximately $323,900. After reducing and then repurchasing BTC, its overall BTC holding increased slightly today; gold positions were trimmed.

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