Wall Street warns: Jensen Huang's departure will trigger an "AI version of quantitative tightening", as the "AI central bank" loses its helmsman.
15 minutes ago
Jensen Huang’s sudden departure has put Nvidia’s over $500 billion "AI cycle financing machine"—built on equity investments, guarantees, and buybacks—at risk of stalling. Fourteen institutions including Goldman Sachs and UBS have successively cut Nvidia’s price targets, warning that if the company stops channeling funds to clients and suppliers, even temporarily, it could instantly drain over $500 billion in liquidity, equivalent to triggering an "AI version of quantitative tightening." Affected by this, CoreWeave, which relies heavily on Nvidia’s credit endorsement, plunged 11% on the day; the $40 billion loan it is promoting, with Nvidia as the guarantor, faces uncertainty. Over the past three years, Nvidia has effectively acted as the "lender of last resort" for the AI industry. Through a circular logic of buying chips, funding buyers, and backing landlords, it has built a massive portfolio including $99 billion in equity investments, $108.5 billion in guarantees, and $56 billion in repurchase agreements. This model has packaged emerging cloud service providers with low credit quality (such as Neocloud) as investment-grade debtors. Now that its key operator has left, some clients and Wall Street partners have begun demanding to renegotiate terms and increase backstop ratios, meaning credit spreads across the entire downstream industrial chain will widen broadly. Currently, Nvidia’s previously high-profile $500 billion financing platform has been stalled for three months, with no transactions closed yet. On November 17, interim CEO and CFO Colette Kress will host the earnings call. Kress, who tried to rein in high-risk guarantee transactions during the boom period, is now being closely watched by the market: Will the "Nvidia Bank" without Jensen Huang continue operating as usual, or quietly shift to a stock maintenance mode?
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