Analyst: Bitcoin short-term holders’ overall loss ratio has climbed to 73%, with trapped positions likely to continue suppressing its rebound.
32 minutes ago
Crypto analyst Murphy wrote in a post that Bitcoin’s current correction has pushed the Short-Term Holders’ Profit/Loss Ratio (STH-PSIL) to 73%. By comparison, during the previous cycle—driven by interest rate hikes and a traditional banking crisis—the metric hit 51% in the first correction round and rose to 67% in the second. Murphy dubbed the current trend a "giant pit start" and noted it bears similarities to the market performance between 2019 and 2020. During the 2019 first correction, the metric once climbed to 97%, and the market took roughly a year to recover from the slump afterward. Murphy said there’s no need for excessive pessimism right now, but investor confidence has been damaged. A large volume of trapped positions above the current price may continue to exert selling pressure when the price rebounds to key levels, making the current recovery more challenging than the 2019 cycle. He added that he built a heavy BTC position from February to June, and despite the current price being near his cost basis, he has no plans to sell.
The entire crypto market is seeing a broad sell-off across all assets. Funding rates show bearish sentiment for ETH has risen significantly, while BTC remains in a bearish territory overall.
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Bitwise CIO: Current crypto market resembles mid-2018, bear market conditions are likely to persist for some time.
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Crypto whales hit by massive liquidation: Associated entities including 'Xian Ding 10 Major Goals', 48Clublan and Bit have suffered total asset drawdowns exceeding $230 million.
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Amid the crypto market downturn, Hyperliquid's revenue rose to $3.91 million in the past 24 hours.
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