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Analyst: $2.14 Billion Worth of Options Set to Expire Today, Bitcoin Outperforms in Price and Sentiment Compared to the Previous Three Months

2 hours ago

On May 1, per Greeks.live data: - 23,000 BTC options expired, with a put/call ratio of 1.13, max pain at $76,000, and notional value of $17.4 billion. - 175,000 ETH options also expired the same day, with a put/call ratio of 0.94, max pain at $2,325, and notional value of $4 billion. Greeks.live analyst Adam noted this week saw muted market volatility, with Bitcoin (BTC) hovering around $78,000. Sentiment is gradually cooling: short-term implied volatility (IV) has plummeted, and nearly a quarter of position margin has been released amid this week’s monthly settlement. Main-term option IVs dropped sharply this week: - BTC’s main-term IVs are all below 40% across the board. - ETH’s main-term IVs fell even further: short-term IV dipped below 50%, while medium- to long-term IVs are all under 60%. Key option data highlights: - Skew remains stable, signaling a slight bearish directional bias. - Only 6% of options expire this week; ~25% open interest remains through end-May, ~30% through end-June. - Large transactions are relatively inactive, pointing to a consolidation phase. Market context: This April, BTC outperformed in both price and popularity versus the first three months of the year. However, the altcoin market has seen limited recovery—focus remains squarely on BTC, with altcoin activity still awaiting a pickup.
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Listed Crypto Mining Firm Riot Blockchain's Q1 Revenue Reaches $167 Million, Data Center Business Contributes to Revenue for the First Time

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Historical patterns show that Bitcoin often faces a several-month correction after a new chair takes office, and the market is watching whether Powell can break the "curse."

May 1 With Kevin Warsh expected to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair next month, historical patterns suggest Bitcoin typically sees a few months of price correction after each new Fed chair takes office—followed by the start of a "true bull run." The market is closely watching whether this trend will hold, or if another dip is imminent. Meanwhile, the macro environment is sending mixed signals: former President Trump has already begun pushing for rate cuts. In an interview, Trump noted he’d be disappointed if Warsh doesn’t cut rates at the Fed’s first policy meeting under his tenure in June. Markets widely expect the Fed’s final meeting under Powell (this Wednesday) to leave rates unchanged. James Lavish, partner at Bitcoin Opportunity Fund, pointed out the Fed has added roughly $200 billion in U.S. Treasuries to its holdings over the past few months—signaling the official end of quantitative tightening (QT) and the start of "lightweight QE," a potential catalyst for risk ass

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April U.S. Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow Reaches $2.021 billion

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「Meme Coin」 Flips from Profit to Loss Again, Loses $4.42 Million in the Past Week

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