Expectations of easing US-Iran tensions drive a rebound in global risk assets: Brent crude falls below $90, US stock futures rise.
43 minutes ago
Expectations of easing tensions between the U.S. and Iran have risen, driving a broad rebound in global risk assets. The New York Times reported that the U.S. is preparing to allow previously evacuated diplomatic staff to return to its Middle East embassies, leading markets to believe Washington does not expect a full-scale conflict with Iran in the near term. Brent crude oil briefly fell below $90 per barrel, dropping more than 3% on the day; WTI crude oil also declined by around 3%. U.S. stock futures rose, with S&P 500 futures up 0.4% and Nasdaq 100 futures gaining 0.9%. The semiconductor sector led gains, with Nvidia rising around 0.9% in pre-market trading, on track to end a seven-day losing streak. AI-related stocks including Micron and Seagate also saw notable strength. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell by roughly 3 basis points to 4.66%, with lower bond yields supporting risk assets. In the crypto market, Bitcoin (BTC) briefly broke above $80,000 for the first time since mid-May, though its gains later narrowed. Markets attribute BTC’s rise to a resurgence of bets on a weaker U.S. dollar and recent intervention in the bond market by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, which pushed some funds to seek dollar-alternative assets. Meanwhile, billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller wrote an op-ed in The Wall Street Journal criticizing Bessent’s bond market intervention, stating, “Governments that try to push prices away from fundamentals always fail in the end.” Markets are now closely watching Nvidia’s earnings, U.S. PCE inflation data, and remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole symposium this Friday, as these events could further shape market and interest rate expectations for September.
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