Glassnode: Bitcoin is in a strong range-bound state, with the market focusing on key catalyst events.

Glassnode released its weekly market report, stating that Bitcoin is constrained within a "trading range" of $80,000 to $87,000. Daily closes once rose above roughly $87,500, and recent ETF inflows paired with expanding trading volume show demand is absorbing supply at the upper end of the range. If Bitcoin breaks below $80,000, both ETF holders and average treasury investors will enter losses, potentially dragging the price down toward the True Market Mean. Below the range, buyers have re-accumulated positions near $80,000 based on ETF and Treasury cost bases (though at a smaller scale than the peak). Above the range, the cost basis for buyers who entered positions 6 to 12 months ago is around $86,700, paired with order book sell walls and liquidation clusters at roughly $85,000 and $87,000. A breakout from this range could accelerate, but will encounter selling pressure. Glassnode noted that investors should focus on upcoming key catalysts, including the Federal Reserve’s October 28 interest rate decision, rising oil prices and yields, and a rebound in inflation expectations. Separately, MSCI will publish its index adjustment list on November 11 (effective November 30), with potential removals of stocks such as Strategy, which could impact related equities and Bitcoin buying demand.