Goldman Sachs: US retail stock trading activity fell 45% from the end of last year, with stock supply projected to hit a 26-year high in 2027.

According to CryptoQuant data, stablecoin reserves held by Binance and Binance.US account for approximately 75% of the total stablecoin reserves of monitored cryptocurrency trading platforms, with the remaining platforms collectively making up the other 25%. This ratio stood at around 58% in mid-2025, and rose to nearly 75% by October 2026. The data indicates that stablecoin reserves are further concentrating on Binance, meaning its influence on crypto market liquidity is continuing to expand. Stablecoins can serve as potential trading funds, providing purchasing power for crypto assets such as Bitcoin, but an increase in reserve size does not necessarily signal an imminent entry of buy orders. Additionally, the rise in Binance’s stablecoin reserve share may stem from declines in other trading platforms’ reserves rather than net capital inflows. Therefore, subsequent analysis will still need to combine total stablecoin volume and capital flows to determine whether this will translate into new demand for the crypto market.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with the National Basketball Association (NBA). The two parties will share information and establish communication mechanisms to uphold fairness in prediction market trading, and prevent insider trading and market manipulation. The NBA also announced that Kalshi and Polymarket will serve as its preferred prediction market platforms. The NBA is the third U.S. professional sports league to ink a similar deal with the CFTC, following the National Hockey League (NHL) and Major League Baseball (MLB). Regulatory authority over prediction markets remains a contentious issue. The CFTC maintains that most prediction market contracts are swaps subject to its exclusive jurisdiction, while multiple U.S. states argue the platforms violate state gambling laws. New Jersey has petitioned the U.S. Supreme Court to resolve the dispute, and the NFL has filed an amicus curiae brief asserting that sports prediction contracts count as gambling and should be regulated by states. Moreover, insider trading in prediction markets continues to draw close scrutiny. Both Kalshi and Polymarket stated they have taken measures to enhance verification of identity and employment details for traders with access to sensitive market information, to mitigate risks of trading based on non-public data.

According to HTX market data, Bitcoin once again fell below $80,000, with a 0.84% decline in the past 24 hours.

In its latest research note, Bernstein maintained its "Outperform" ratings for Coinbase, Robinhood, and Circle, while revising the three firms’ earnings forecasts and price targets. As crypto spot trading growth slows, prediction markets, derivatives, and tokenization businesses are emerging as new growth engines for these players. For Coinbase, Bernstein cut its price target from $330 to $250, lowered its 2026 revenue forecast by roughly 32% to $5.5 billion, and projects an annual net loss of $2.60 per share, down from its prior forecast of $5.97 in earnings per share (EPS). The firm expects Coinbase’s prediction market and derivatives businesses to generate around $2 billion in revenue by 2028, up from its earlier estimate of roughly $600 million. For Robinhood, Bernstein kept its $160 price target unchanged, forecasting its prediction market business will hit $1.7 billion in revenue by 2028, slightly outpacing the $1.6 billion projected for its crypto business in the same period. The firm projects Robinhood’s third-quarter event contract volume will rise 21% quarter-over-quarter to around 16.4 billion contracts; its in-house blockchain, launched in July, generated roughly $90 billion in transaction volume and $50 million in fees in Q3. For Circle, Bernstein raised its price target from $140 to $145, and forecasts its third-quarter revenue will edge up to $770 million. While USDC’s circulation fell from roughly $77 billion in Q2 to around $73 billion, weighing on reserve-related revenue, Arc’s token presales, future transaction fees, and validator staking income are poised to provide new growth sources.

Ritual Foundation announced in a post that Ritual’s mainnet has officially launched, with its native token RITUAL launching simultaneously and listing on Coinbase for its first exchange listing. The project is designed to support autonomous operation of on-chain AI Agents: Agents hold their own keys, using earned income to cover computing costs including inference, API calls, and scheduled tasks. Execution nodes provide computing services and earn token rewards, while validators coordinate tasks and settle transactions. On the token front, RITUAL is used to pay network gas fees and related service fees. The token has no total supply cap, operating via continuous minting and transaction base fee burning. The project team stated that tokens held by insiders are locked for at least one year from the mainnet launch and cannot be staked during the lockup period. Additionally, the project will distribute 50 million RITUAL tokens to eligible Infernet operators, Frenrug users, and long-term community members — accounting for 0.5% of the initial supply — all of which are unlocked at launch. For cross-chain functionality, LayerZero powers RITUAL’s cross-chain services: tokens bridged out of the Ritual network are locked on their original chain, with no new token supply generated in the process.

According to market data from BIT (Bit.com), Microsoft’s intraday share price rose more than 1%, lifting its market capitalization to $3.94 trillion. In related news, Microsoft will offer a buyout package to 60,000 employees as part of its latest round of cost-cutting measures. The voluntary severance program is available to eligible employees at level 70 and below across participating teams in Canada, India, the United Kingdom, and the United States.