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Bitcoin (BTC) — Onchain News & Whale Tracking

Real-time Bitcoin whale movements, exchange flows and onchain findings tracked by Lookonchain. 9185 updates and counting.

2026.08.21 11:27

Analyst: Bitcoin’s current rally is fueled by a short squeeze, with future market performance still requiring real demand to underpin.

Bitcoin surges past $75,000, hitting a three-month high. The rally was primarily driven by the U.S. Treasury’s announcement to expand the scale of its long-term U.S. Treasury bond liquidity support repurchase operations. The Treasury had earlier stated it would at least double the size of these operations for long-term nominal coupon securities with maturities of 10 to 30 years. Additional factors boosting market sentiment include the SEC’s latest crypto regulatory proposal and a White House meeting between Trump and crypto industry executives. The sharp rally has triggered massive short liquidations. Data from Coinglass shows that Bitcoin’s rise on Wednesday led to over $2.75 billion in BTC short positions being liquidated. In the past 24 hours, an additional $783.2 million in Bitcoin positions were liquidated, of which $747.7 million were short positions. However, analyst Shawn Young believes the current rally may be overinterpreted by the market. He noted that the crypto market is “assigning far more significance to the U.S. Treasury’s intervention measures than their actual impact,” adding that bond market changes are forcing shorts to cover quickly rather than improving Bitcoin’s macro fundamentals. U.S. Treasuries are still competing with Bitcoin for marginal capital, and the current rise is largely driven by the market’s previously overcrowded short positions. He called Bitcoin’s break above $70,000 “premature.” Zeus Research analyst Dominick John said short liquidations could still push prices higher in the short term, but as forced buying fades, future moves will need to be supported by real spot demand, liquidity conditions, and macro fundamentals. He added that the key for the market’s next phase is whether new capital can enter, turning this short squeeze into a sustained uptrend. Additionally, smooth passage of the Clarity Act in September could serve as an important catalyst for further crypto market growth.

2026.08.21 10:23

Bitcoin rose 16.66% in two days, its market cap rebounded to $1.5 trillion, and the broader cryptocurrency market continues to recover.

According to HTX market data, Bitcoin has surged sharply for two consecutive days, with a cumulative gain of 16.66%, bringing its market capitalization back to $1.5 trillion. The broader cryptocurrency market has rebounded. Following a flurry of positive remarks on the crypto sector from US President Trump this Wednesday, the first meeting of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Innovation Advisory Committee was held this Thursday, with numerous crypto giants and executives in attendance, whose remarks further boosted the market. Meanwhile, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig stated that even if the US Congress fails to pass the Crypto Market Structure Act (the Clarity Act), the crypto industry will still obtain market structure regulatory rules. Selig noted that the CFTC can establish a market regulatory framework either by formulating rules or promoting legislation. He added that the CFTC is currently evaluating multiple crypto regulatory proposals, but will continue to monitor the progress of the Clarity Act. The bill is currently stalled in the US Senate, with a procedural vote expected in mid-September, though it remains uncertain whether it can secure enough votes ahead of the US midterm elections. Selig said legislation is "the most reliable approach," but the CFTC already holds substantial regulatory authority under existing laws. If Congress ultimately fails to pass the relevant bill, the CFTC will leverage its existing authority to enact regulatory rules.

2026.08.20 18:39

Short-term Bitcoin holders transferred 44,300 BTC to centralized exchanges (CEXs) yesterday, marking the largest profit-taking activity recorded so far this year.

Crypto analyst Darkfost wrote that Bitcoin notched its largest single-day gain since February 2026 yesterday, surging 7.1% in 24 hours. The rally pushed Bitcoin’s price above the cost basis of short-term holders (STHs), triggering massive profit-taking among STHs. Data shows short-term holders transferred over 44,300 BTC to trading platforms yesterday, marking the largest profit-taking volume since 2026. Currently, the STH cost basis stands at roughly $67,100. After Bitcoin broke above this level, some previously profitable holders began moving their assets. Darkfost attributed the rally to multiple factors. U.S. Treasury Secretary Besant previously announced the U.S. would expand its long-term Treasury repurchase operations by double, driving a sharp decline in long-term U.S. Treasury yields. Later, Trump spoke at a dedicated crypto industry meeting at the White House, stating the U.S. is considering purchasing large amounts of BTC, urging Congress to pass the Clarity Act, and expressing his wish to facilitate Hyperliquid’s entry into the U.S. market. The market remains divided on whether these policy statements are mere discussions or the U.S. government’s genuine intent to become a global crypto hub. Currently, as Bitcoin attempts to break through key resistance levels—including the STH cost basis—the on-chain behavior of short-term holders continues to warrant close monitoring.

2026.08.20 12:27

CZ: Bitcoin Still Follows Its Four-Year Cycle, Crypto Sector Enjoys Most Policy-Friendly Period Yet

At the SALT conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, USA, CZ commented on the Bitcoin "super cycle" thesis he previously proposed at the World Economic Forum in Davos, noting the claim has not yet materialized. According to data, the market still follows a relatively strict four-year cycle and is currently in its bear market phase. However, as total market capitalization expands, price volatility will narrow, similar to the fluctuation patterns of large companies like Amazon and Facebook. When discussing the U.S. regulatory environment, CZ said this is the most industry-friendly period in his 12-year career, adding that the U.S. regulatory framework sets a global example, with many countries’ securities laws and exchange regulatory structures referencing the U.S. Meanwhile, Hong Kong is accelerating alignment with U.S. regulatory approaches to advance relevant legislation. Additionally, CZ touched on the portfolio of his investment firm YZi Labs, stating that roughly 70% of its capital is allocated to core crypto and blockchain sectors, about 20% to AI, and the rest to fields like biotechnology. YZi Labs uses its own capital, free from external limited partner (LP) return cycle constraints, and prioritizes projects’ positive impact and founding teams’ execution ability over purely financial return models. Regarding Hyperliquid, CZ noted a common industry misconception that as a Binance shareholder, it would only uphold CEX stances, but he entered the industry because he believes in decentralization. If KYC-free platforms like Hyperliquid can enter the U.S. market in a compliant manner, it will open doors for the entire sector, enabling more Perp DEXs and decentralized services to reach U.S. and global users, while U.S. consumers will gain better liquidity and pricing. This will not only benefit Hyperliquid itself but also international centralized exchanges including Binance.

2026.08.20 11:34

Glassnode: Bitcoin remains in the "capitulation phase", and the current rally should be viewed as a partial rebound during the bottoming process.

Glassnode released a report at 12:00 AM this morning, noting that Bitcoin’s on-chain structure remains in the "capitulation phase". The cost base of short-term holders has dropped to around $68,500, lower than the real market average of approximately $75,800. Meanwhile, the relative unrealized loss in this cycle peaks at roughly 25%, significantly lower than the over 60% level seen during capitulation phases in previous cycles. This indicates that the current market loss is relatively mild but more dispersed, potentially requiring a longer period to complete the clearing process. Glassnode also stated that the 90-day moving average of the realized profit/loss ratio currently stands at 0.75, while historically this metric typically falls below 0.5 before seller exhaustion occurs, meaning genuine seller exhaustion has not yet emerged. The firm further emphasized that until this metric breaks back above 2, any price rally should be viewed as a local rebound rather than a fundamental shift in market trend. Additionally, the 30-day directional premium in the perpetual contract market turned sharply negative during the recent sell-off, but has since rebounded significantly and returned to positive territory. This signals that leveraged traders are once again willing to pay a premium for long exposure, and speculative risk appetite has improved somewhat. However, in contrast to the improvement in the perpetual contract market, the Coinbase Premium Index remains consistently negative, indicating that meaningful demand has not yet returned to the U.S. spot market.

2026.08.20 07:46

Key takeaways from Trump’s crypto-friendly remarks: He disclosed that the U.S. government has discussed accumulating a "significant amount" of Bitcoin, vowed to end the "war on crypto" entirely, and urged the prompt passage of the Genius Act.

U.S. President Donald Trump met with executives from crypto and fintech firms including Coinbase, Ripple, Robinhood, Gemini, and Chainlink at the White House’s Roosevelt Room on Wednesday local time, delivering a speech in support of cryptocurrencies. Trump said his administration has “completely ended the war on cryptocurrencies,” noting the industry is thriving, and the U.S. must retain its “undisputed leadership” in areas such as Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, prediction markets, and artificial intelligence, while committing to becoming the “world’s crypto capital.” He added that the U.S. government has discussed accumulating “significant quantities” of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, claiming crypto assets “have greatly eased pressure on the U.S. dollar.” Meanwhile, he urged Congress to pass a “fair version” of the Clarity Act (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act) promptly, arguing this would keep the U.S. ahead of China and other countries. Trump also noted that the SEC Chair is working to bring Hyperliquid to the U.S. market in a compliant manner, and highlighted policy achievements including the signed Genius Act (stablecoin legislation), strategic Bitcoin reserves, and the ban on central bank digital currencies (CBDCs).

2026.08.20 05:43

Bitcoin tops $69,000 for the first time in two months, lifted by U.S. SEC crypto rule proposals and expanded U.S. Treasury repo operations.

The crypto market has rallied, with Bitcoin briefly topping $69,000 for the first time in two months, while Ethereum rose roughly 19% to reclaim the $2,200 mark. The rally was driven primarily by two policy announcements. The U.S. Treasury Department said it will at least double the size of its long-term Treasury repurchase operations, raising the single-auction cap for 10–20 year and 20–30 year Treasuries from $2 billion to $4 billion. The measure takes effect September 9 and will run through the end of the current refinancing quarter. The Treasury stated the move is intended to provide additional liquidity support to the long-term Treasury market. Meanwhile, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) proposed a new regulatory framework for crypto asset issuances, aiming to create an exemption pathway for certain crypto offerings tied to investment contracts. Under the proposal, eligible issuers can raise up to $5 million over four years, or up to $75 million annually, if they meet disclosure requirements. Fueled by these positive policy developments, the broader crypto market saw broad-based gains, with major assets including Solana and XRP surging over 5% in the past 24 hours. Market analysts noted that while the Treasury’s expanded repo operations differ from traditional quantitative easing, they could still improve liquidity in the long-term bond market, fostering a more favorable environment for risk assets. Additionally, VanEck has previously stated that Bitcoin’s correction phase may be nearing its end, with historical cycle data suggesting the cryptocurrency could be entering a potential accumulation phase. Crypto-related stocks also rose in tandem: Fold Holdings jumped nearly 20%, BitGo and American Bitcoin gained around 15%, and Bitcoin asset reserve firm Strategy and Ethereum asset reserve firm Bitmine rose roughly 10%.

2026.08.20 01:40

Analysis: This round of Bitcoin rally is driven by factors including rising optimism over crypto regulation and the expansion of US Treasury repo operations.

According to Bloomberg, as industry executives gather at the White House and market regulatory optimism builds, Bitcoin broke through a months-long trading range on Wednesday, surging as much as 8% to around $69,500—its largest gain since March and the highest level since early June. Trump is expected to hold meetings with executives from firms including Coinbase, Payward, and Blockchain.com. Axel Rudolph, chief technical analyst at IG, said the rally toward $70,000 was triggered by short covering, signaling a recovery in buyer confidence, though whether the momentum can hold and push to challenge the $75,000 level remains a key test. Bitcoin also reclaimed its 100-day and 200-day moving averages on Wednesday. Data from Coinglass showed the sharp rise triggered over $1 billion in liquidations within an hour, with total liquidations reaching roughly $1.5 billion over the past 24 hours. On the regulatory front, the U.S. SEC this week proposed exempting certain digital asset issuers from securities registration requirements to support early-stage and fundraising-stage companies. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury Department announced it would at least double the size of its liquidity-supporting repo operations for 10- to 30-year Treasuries, pushing U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar lower. Joshua Lim, co-head of markets at FalconX, noted that the market has been flooded with sell orders over the past weeks, but Bitcoin held firm in the $60,000 range, which subsequently shifted market sentiment and narratives. Data from Deribit showed Bitcoin options positions are concentrated near $60,000 put options and $70,000 call options.

2026.08.19 23:03

Strive CEO: Bitcoin could see its strongest macro tailwind in history over the next 5 to 7 years, as a weakening U.S. dollar will significantly benefit Bitcoin.

Strive CEO Matt Cole stated in a recent post that he has believed for over a decade the US Dollar Index (DXY) is in a structural downtrend, and may now be approaching a larger-scale decline phase. If this outlook holds, the macro environment for Bitcoin over the next 5 to 7 years could be more favorable than any period in its history. Cole noted that over the past roughly 45 years, the DXY has generally formed lower highs and lower lows, while the continuous expansion of US federal debt and fiscal deficits, plus rising risks for long-term US Treasuries, also fundamentally support this view. He pointed out that policymakers will ultimately face a trade-off between higher real interest rates, tighter financial conditions, and lower real interest rates, maintaining liquidity, and a certain degree of currency depreciation. Cole added that Bitcoin’s previous major rallies all coincided with sharp US dollar weakness, including in 2017 when DXY fell from around 103 to 88, 2020 to 2021 when it dropped from ~103 to 89, and 2025 when it retreated from ~108. His baseline assessment is that the US dollar may enter a new multi-year decline over the next 3 to 7 years, with DXY even potentially testing its 2008 low of around 70. Cole also mentioned that the US Treasury Department announced today it will at least double the size of its liquidity support repurchase operations for 10-year to 30-year US Treasuries. He argued that if the dollar ultimately sees a genuine long-term structural breakdown, Bitcoin’s macro tailwinds over the next 5 to 7 years could be significantly stronger than any period in its history.

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