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The Japanese yen has declined for two consecutive weeks, approaching the 160 threshold, and foreign exchange intervention risks are resurfacing.

59 minutes ago

With Japan’s holiday period drawing to a close, the risk of yen intervention is back in focus. The yen has fallen for two consecutive weeks, bringing it once again near the closely watched 160 level. Strategists believe the 160 level is once again a test of Japan’s tolerance for yen depreciation, as the currency has remained weak since the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) September 18 policy meeting. While the BOJ has accelerated its tightening cycle, internal divisions exist within the committee, while the U.S. appears to be moving toward a more hawkish path. Carol Kong, currency strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), stated that if U.S. yields continue to rise and markets keep testing Japan’s resolve to defend the yen, USD/JPY could soon break through 160. A rapid break above this level would substantially raise the likelihood of official action, particularly given recent reports that Japan has conducted foreign exchange checks and the precedent of coordinated interventions. (Jinshi)

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