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Bitcoin (BTC) — Onchain News & Whale Tracking

Real-time Bitcoin whale movements, exchange flows and onchain findings tracked by Lookonchain. 8524 updates and counting.

2026.09.22 05:56

Analysis: Bitcoin could test $90,000 after a short squeeze, but leverage risks are on the rise.

Bitcoin surged past the key resistance level of $82,000 to hit a high of $87,300, triggering liquidations of around $750 million in bearish crypto derivative positions, with buying pressure from short covering further fueling the price rally. Since the breakout, Bitcoin’s derivative open interest has added roughly $2 billion, indicating a rapid return of market leverage. Nansen analyst Nicolai Sondergaard noted that “prices are turning bullish faster than position adjustments.” U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, which had faced headwinds from the CLARITY Act and Federal Reserve rate hikes, saw a combined outflow of $746 million on Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by inflows of $160 million and $433 million on Thursday and Friday respectively. The average cost basis for U.S. Bitcoin ETF holders is around $82,200; with Bitcoin breaking above this level, ETF investors as a whole have returned to profitability. Looking ahead, Sondergaard identifies $87,000 as the next key level, with $90,000 and $92,000 as subsequent targets; Wintermute trader Jasper De Maere also believes Bitcoin could test $90,000. However, he pointed out that breaking above the 50-week moving average is merely a positive signal, and significant volatility could still occur in the short term. The market is now closely watching whether spot and ETF inflows can sustain the rally. Sondergaard warned that if spot demand fails to keep pace with the growth in derivative leverage, the rally could become leverage-driven and reverse rapidly amid rising U.S. Treasury yields or geopolitical shocks. Wintermute advised focusing on ETF flows, perpetual contract open interest and funding rates in the coming days, as well as the options expiration this Friday.

2026.09.20 21:30

Renowned trader: Bitcoin has successively digested interest rate hikes and the setback of the 'CLARITY Act', and the market trend may have shifted.

Renowned trader Killa said the "everything is priced in" chart tracks major catalysts across Bitcoin’s cycles and their post-event price behavior. He noted that during bear markets, negative news typically pushes BTC lower, leading traders to develop an inertia of shorting on any bearish headlines. But once high-timeframe trends shift, the same news may only spark temporary panic, after which Bitcoin absorbs selling pressure and resumes its rally. Recent market events include the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike, expectations around the CLARITY Act vote, and the bill’s failure to advance. Markets initially viewed these as reasons for Bitcoin to drop further, but BTC only briefly broke below its range low before bouncing back quickly, showing strong resilience. Even as narratives of a "third world war" gained traction, Bitcoin began reacting relatively positively to panic-inducing factors. Killa highlighted this performance as a key distinction between bull and bear markets: in bear markets, bad news drives prices down, while in bull markets, negative headlines may trigger trader capitulation, after which prices continue rising. He added that the key catalyst that confirmed the last cycle’s uptrend was the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, and this cycle’s equivalent catalyst could be the CLARITY Act. Bitcoin’s recent ability to digest multiple bearish factors is a key basis for his judgment that the trend has shifted.

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